Pre-tourney Rankings
Cal Poly
Big West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#154
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Pace55.7#344
Improvement+1.6#107

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#154
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#154
Improvement+1.6#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 259   @ Nevada L 49-65 62%     0 - 1 -18.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2014 256   Delaware W 78-60 80%     1 - 1 +9.9 -4.1 -4.1
  Nov 26, 2014 108   @ California L 52-72 28%     1 - 2 -13.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 29, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's L 56-82 17%     1 - 3 -15.2 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 13, 2014 189   @ Fresno St. L 57-63 47%     1 - 4 -4.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 15, 2014 128   @ San Francisco W 78-71 32%     2 - 4 +12.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2014 127   Northeastern W 60-58 43%     3 - 4 +4.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Dec 20, 2014 7   Gonzaga L 50-63 5%     3 - 5 +6.1 +9.5 +9.5
  Dec 23, 2014 163   @ Santa Clara W 69-58 41%     4 - 5 +13.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 30, 2014 184   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 71-57 46%     5 - 5 +15.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 07, 2015 123   @ Hawaii W 61-57 OT 31%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +9.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 10, 2015 109   UC Santa Barbara L 45-50 49%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -4.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 15, 2015 137   @ Long Beach St. L 48-50 34%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +2.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Jan 17, 2015 260   @ Cal St. Northridge L 48-55 62%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -9.6 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 22, 2015 295   Cal St. Fullerton W 66-55 84%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +0.9 -5.1 -5.1
  Jan 24, 2015 218   UC Riverside W 68-49 73%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +13.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 29, 2015 102   @ UC Irvine L 57-67 27%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -3.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 31, 2015 110   @ UC Davis L 78-81 OT 28%     8 - 10 3 - 5 +3.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 05, 2015 123   Hawaii L 56-59 53%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -3.1 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2015 260   Cal St. Northridge W 70-63 80%     9 - 11 4 - 6 -1.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 14, 2015 137   Long Beach St. W 71-58 56%     10 - 11 5 - 6 +11.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2015 295   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 65-54 68%     11 - 11 6 - 6 +6.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 21, 2015 218   @ UC Riverside L 44-48 52%     11 - 12 6 - 7 -4.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 26, 2015 102   UC Irvine L 56-63 48%     11 - 13 6 - 8 -5.8 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 28, 2015 110   UC Davis L 56-66 49%     11 - 14 6 - 9 -9.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 07, 2015 109   @ UC Santa Barbara L 56-64 28%     11 - 15 6 - 10 -1.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Mar 12, 2015 109   UC Santa Barbara L 50-54 38%     11 - 16 -0.3 +1.9 +1.9
Projected Record 11.0 - 16.0 6.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%